Daily Hoops Hustle: College Basketball Crown & NBA Picks & Parlays & Edges for 3/31 - 4/2

The College Crown Tournament is here, featuring bottom-end college basketball teams from power conferences. Although we have generated projections for these games, sometimes the best bets are the ones we don't make.

The fact that these teams have been off for a few weeks, some players are opting out - some even opted out today at the last minute - and that it's being held in Las Vegas gives us some pause. While some coaches might be using this like a football bowl game and getting some younger players or players who don't usually play much extra reps, others may be using it as a reward to the players for a season of hard work. Some coaches may be hoping to use the tournament to get better, while others might be taking there teams on a Vegas vacation.

And there's no real way to figure out what is what until the ball is tossed and the first day of games is completed.

While having actions is always fun, and you can feel free to use our projections and edges to have some fun, we don't feel strongly enough about any college games tonight to recommend picks.

We do, however, have a recommended NBA pick for tonight. All the info is below. We also have some early projections for the rest of this week's college hoops slate that will be tweaked as the games approach.

Friendly Daily Reminder

When you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through a stringent set of rules and parameters that we consider for each matchup. In our daily posts, you will find our recommended bets as well as games that don't quite make the cut to be recommended and which might make solid parlay options and other games where we believe there are edges favoring one side.

Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so as we strive to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide suggest parlay options that are strong bets and don't quite make the cut for us as recommended selections. We also may present other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.

Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering around 58 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.

StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 3/31, 4/1 & 4/2

Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability

N/A

StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 3/31, 4/1 & 4/2

All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability

NBA: Indiana Pacers money line -165 vs. Sacramento Kings (65% win probability) - WIN

StatLogic Sports Bonus Bet for 3/31, 4/1 & 4/2

Boise State & Nebraska money line parlay at -125 - WIN

Villanova & USC money line parlay at -102 - WIN

Parlay City

While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.

Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 384-138 (73.6%) since Jan. 4 and were 18-2 Jan. 14-15. They were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run with our parlay options.

Postseason CBB Money Line Parlay Options: 56-7. We opened the postseason on a 29-4 run. The last 24 college basketball parlay options have been winners (March 21 - April 2).

Potential CBB Money Line Parlay Options for 3/31, 4/1 & 4/2

Boise State - WIN

Nebraska - WIN

Villanova - WIN

USC - WIN

Boise State (vs. Butler 4/2) - WIN

NBA:

Indiana Pacers - WIN

Denver Nuggets (vs. San Antonio Spurs 4/2) - LOSS

StatLogic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges for 3/31, 4/1 & 4 /2

projected point differential in parentheses

Chattanooga money line - +125 vs. Loyola Chicago - WIN

Villanova money line -155 vs. Colorado - WIN

Oregon State +4.5 vs. UCF - WIN

Butler +8.5 vs. Boise State (5.59) - WIN

Stat-Logic Sports NCAA Basketball Projections: Week of 3/31 - 4/5

for informational purposes; these are not recommenced picks or edges

March 31 Projections

Butler +2.5 vs. Utah (1.00)

Boise State -8.5 vs. George Washington (9.95)

Arizona State +5.5 vs. Nebraska (3.58)

Georgetown -3 vs. Washington State (3.65)

April 1 Projections

UC Irvine +1.5 vs. North Texas (0.02)

Chattanooga +2.5 vs. Loyola Chicago (UTC -0.48)

DePaul +9.5 vs. Cincinnati (7.38)

Oregon State +4.5 vs. UCF (0.93)

Villanova -3 vs. Colorado (5.70)

Tulane +9 vs. USC (6.58)

April 2 Projections

Butler +8.5  vs. Boise (5.59)

Georgetown +10 vs. Nebraska (4.75)

April 5 Final Four Projections

Houston +4.5 vs. Duke (1.24)

Auburn +2.5 vs. Florida (1.12)

Postseason College Basketball Record:

CBB Parlay Options: 56-7 (88.9%)

Betting Edges: 58-31-1 (65.2%)

     Last 7 Days: 17-5 (77.3%)

     Last 64 days: 519-363 (58.8%)

Bonus Picks: 14-3 (82.4%)

Postseason Betting Edge Log

April 2: 1-0

April 1: 3-0

March 29: 1-0

March 28: 1-1

March 27: 0-1

March 23: 6-2

March 22: 5-1

March 21: 6-1

March 20; 3-4

March 18: 3-2

March 16: 1-2

March 15: 5-2

March 14: 4-3-1

March 13: 11-8

March 12: 8-5

NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges

Final Regular-Season Record:

875-662-19 (56.9%)

March 9 Record: 7-7

March 8 Record: 10-6

March 7 Record: 9-5

March 6 Record: 8-8

March 5 Record: 7-5

March 4 Record: 13-6

March 3 Record: 3-1

March 2 Record: 7-3

March 1 Record: 17-14

Feb. 28 Record: 6-5

Feb. 27 Record: 4-3

Feb. 26 Record: 9-7

Feb. 25 Record: 10-6

Feb. 24 Record: 5-2

Feb. 23 Record: 6-2-1

Feb. 22 Record: 13-13

Feb. 21 Record: 5-2

Feb. 20 Record: 4-7

Feb. 19 Record: 8-8

Feb. 18 Record: 3-6

Feb. 17 Record: 3-1

Feb. 16 Record: 5-2

Feb. 15 Record: 23-14-2

Feb. 14 Record: 5-2

Feb. 13 Record: 9-5

Feb. 12 Record: 8-7-1

Feb. 11 Record: 11-3

Feb. 10 Record: 4-0

Feb. 9 Record: Off Day

Feb. 8 Record: 17-17-1

Feb. 7 Record: 1-3

Feb. 6 Record: 7-8

Feb. 5 Record: 14-8-1

Feb. 4 Record: 9-8

Feb. 3 Record: 8-5

Feb. 2 Record: 3-3

Feb. 1 Record: 20-19-1

Jan. 31 Record: 6-3

Jan. 30 Record: 13-5-1

Jan. 29 Record; 15-12-1

Jan. 28 Record: 13-7

Jan. 27 Record: 8-1

Jan. 26 Record: 0-4

Jan. 25 Record: 21-17

Jan. 24 Record: 3-4

Jan. 23 Record: 8-6

Jan. 22 Record: 7-10

Jan. 21 Record: 12-6-1

Jan. 20 Record: 6-3

Jan. 19 Record: 2-4

Jan. 18 Record: 20-14

Jan. 17 Record: 6-4

Jan. 16 Record: 15-6