After a few days of regrouping and getting our power rankings and NCAA Tournament projections together for the stretch run of the college basketball season, we're back at it again as tournament play in the power conferences heats up.
We concluded the "regular season" on an impressive 21-3 run with our "Parlay City" options and at 57 percent for our season-long "betting edges" with a sample size of more than 1,500 games. Our edges won at a 60-percent rate over the final seven days leading up to this week, and of course, the bread-and-butter All-Star and Superstar recommended picks that have been so successful for two decades continue to cruise along at about a 70-percent success rate since this website launched last August.
Today, we dive back into the college hoops postseason with a juicy mid-week slate that includes games in the Atlantic 10, Big Ten, BIG EAST, ACC, Big 12, Mountain West and SEC, while several other mid-major tournaments push on toward determining their champions. There are plenty of great matchups, and several teams are hoping for a win or two - or a miracle run to a championship - to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament.
Here are today's Bubble Watch Specials, featuring teams whose tourney status remains uncertain:
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State - Big 12 at 12:30 p.m. EDT
South Carolina vs. Arkansas - SEC at 1:00 p.m. EDT
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina - ACC at 2:30 p.m. EDT
Colorado vs. West Virginia - Big 12 at 3:00 p.m. EDT
Texas vs. Vanderbilt - SEC at 3:30 p.m. EDT
Iowa vs. Ohio State - Big Ten at 6:00 p.m. EDT
Kansas State vs. Baylor - Big 12 at 7:00 p.m. EDT
Seton Hall vs. Villanova - BIG EAST at 9:00 p.m. EDT
Syracuse vs. SMU - ACC at 9:30 p.m. EDT
Oklahoma vs. Georgia - SEC at 9:30 p.m. EDT
The Texas-Vanderbilt and Oklahoma-Georgia matchups almost amount to play-n games for those teams, while teams such as Cincinnati, North Carolina, Villanova and SMU simply have to keep winning and hoping.
Automatic Qualifiers as of March 12
11 down & 21 to go
Lipscomb
High Point
UNCW
Robert Morris
Drake
St. Francis
SIUE
Wofford
Omaha
Troy
Gonzaga
Friendly Daily Reminder
When you read through today's information, keep in mind that we are extremely selective with our recommended picks as they need to have at least a 60-percent win probability or better according to our proprietary algorithm and also must pass through a stringent set of rules and parameters that we consider for each matchup. In our daily posts, you will find our recommended bets as well as games that don't quite make the cut to be recommended and which might make solid parlay options and other games where we believe there are edges favoring one side.
Parlays always will have a lower win probability than straight bets, but there are times that a parlay will meet our requirements and be recommended. We realize that many sports bettors prefer not to bet very short odds that approach and exceed -200, so as we strive to provide as much information and help as many people as possible, we do provide suggest parlay options that are strong bets and don't quite make the cut for us as recommended selections. We also may present other games that have betting edges but also don't quite meet our high standards to be recommended picks.
Our college basketball betting edges have performed well, hovering between 55 and 58 percent over a large sample size since early November, and our parlay options have been extremely successful as you can see below.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for 3/12
Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability
TBD
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 3/12
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
TBD
StatLogic Sports Bonus Bets for 3/12
Rhode Island/Quinnipiac money line parlay at -109 - LOSS
Merrimack/Quinnipiac money line parlay at -103
Parlay City
While we usually don't recommend parlays - mainly because it decreases the win probability while increasing the potential payout - for those who aren't interested in laying the juice, combining two of our money line recommended picks or pairing one of our recommended picks with other picks we think have betting edges often can be very strong plays as well. They just may not be strong enough to meet the criteria for us to recommend them, though, and are "bet at your own risk" like the other games we post that have betting edges.
Our potential money line parlay games from Jan. 4-6 were 19-1 ... they have gone 384-138 (73.6%) since Jan. 4 and were 18-2 Jan. 14-15. They were 14-1 overall Feb. 4-5 (college hoops went 12-0 those two days). On Feb. 11 they were 13-0, and for Feb. 11-13 combined they were 31-2. We closed out college hoops regular season on a 21-3 run with our parlay options.
Potential CBB Money Line Parlay Options for 3/12
Rhode Island - LOSS
North Carolina - WIN
West Virginia - LOSS
Arkansas - WIN
Mississippi State
Quinnipiac
Grand Canyon
Liberty
Merrimack
NBA:
TBD
StatLogic Sports NCAA College Basketball Betting Edges 3/12
Rhode Island -4 vs. Fordham (5.73) - LOSS
Cal +6.5 vs. Stanford (3.29)
Cincinnati +9.5 vs. Iowa State (7.54) - LOSS
Central Florida +11.5 vs. Kansas (9.5)
Rice money line -165 vs. Charlotte (5.53) - LOSS
Arkansas -3.5 vs. South Carolina - WIN
Oklahoma +4 vs. Georgia (0.39)
Fresno State +13 vs. Nevada (10.0)
Butler money line -125 vs. Providence (2.76) - WIN
Merrimack -3.5 vs. Sacred Heart
FIU +8 vs. Arkansas State (5.0)
Northwestern money line -148 vs. Minnesota (1.77) - WIN
American money line -180 vs. Navy
UTEP +7.5 vs. Liberty (5.5)
NCAA Basketball Season Betting Edges
Final Regular-Season Record:
875-662-19 (56.9%)
March 9 Record: 7-7
March 8 Record: 10-6
March 7 Record: 9-5
March 6 Record: 8-8
March 5 Record: 7-5
March 4 Record: 13-6
March 3 Record: 3-1
March 2 Record: 7-3
March 1 Record: 17-14
Feb. 28 Record: 6-5
Feb. 27 Record: 4-3
Feb. 26 Record: 9-7
Feb. 25 Record: 10-6
Feb. 24 Record: 5-2
Feb. 23 Record: 6-2-1
Feb. 22 Record: 13-13
Feb. 21 Record: 5-2
Feb. 20 Record: 4-7
Feb. 19 Record: 8-8
Feb. 18 Record: 3-6
Feb. 17 Record: 3-1
Feb. 16 Record: 5-2
Feb. 15 Record: 23-14-2
Feb. 14 Record: 5-2
Feb. 13 Record: 9-5
Feb. 12 Record: 8-7-1
Feb. 11 Record: 11-3
Feb. 10 Record: 4-0
Feb. 9 Record: Off Day
Feb. 8 Record: 17-17-1
Feb. 7 Record: 1-3
Feb. 6 Record: 7-8
Feb. 5 Record: 14-8-1
Feb. 4 Record: 9-8
Feb. 3 Record: 8-5
Feb. 2 Record: 3-3
Feb. 1 Record: 20-19-1
Jan. 31 Record: 6-3
Jan. 30 Record: 13-5-1
Jan. 29 Record; 15-12-1
Jan. 28 Record: 13-7
Jan. 27 Record: 8-1
Jan. 26 Record: 0-4
Jan. 25 Record: 21-17
Jan. 24 Record: 3-4
Jan. 23 Record: 8-6
Jan. 22 Record: 7-10
Jan. 21 Record: 12-6-1
Jan. 20 Record: 6-3
Jan. 19 Record: 2-4
Jan. 18 Record: 20-14
Jan. 17 Record: 6-4
Jan. 16 Record: 15-6
Last 7 days 57-38 (60.0%)
Last 52 days: 461-330 (58.3%)
Comments