Well, we'd like to say we hope to bounce back after two straight All-Star pick losses, but we had won 15 straight before that so it's really hard to call today a bounce-back day. That doesn't mean we can't make some money, though.
After the Yankees awful starting-pitching and bullpen performance yesterday, it seems a little odd to go back to the well with them, but we will. New York figures to be in must-win mode with Baltimore breathing down their necks in the American League East, and they have their ace on the mound against an unproven Texas starter. The other two picks today are Houston vs. Cincinnati and San Diego vs. the Tigers.
More on those games below. In the meantime, check out our recent run of success:
Recent MLB Superstar Pick Results
8/30 NY Yankees -166 WIN (70%)
8/19 Kansas City -240 WIN (70%)
8/16 NY Mets -270 WIN (70%)
Recent MLB All-Star Pick Results
9/1 NY Yankees -225 (67%) LOSS
8/31 San Francisco -162 (61%) LOSS
8/31 Texas -142 WIN (65%)
8/30 NY Mets -225 WIN (67%)
8/30 Cleveland -162 WIN (63%)
8/27 San Diego -142 (64%) WIN
8/25 Los Angeles -225 (67%) WIN
8/24 Atlanta -166 WIN (67%)
8/20 Arizona -130 WIN
8/20 Kansas City -120 WIN
8/20 San Francisco -1.5 (-118) WIN
8/19 Kansas City - 1.5 (-125) WIN
8/18 Seattle -187 WIN
8/17 San Diego -196 WIN (67%)
8/16 NY Mets -1.5 (-122) WIN
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StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for 9/2
New York Yankees (-1.5) Texas Rangers -115 (67% win probability) 8:05 p..m EDT
We don't always love betting the run line, and the Yankees sure did let us down yesterday. but they need a win today with the Orioles just a half game behind them in the AL East and New York having lost two straight as favorites. These are exactly the situations that you pay an ace like Gerrit Cole for. Cole gets the nod today, and although he hasn't always been the dominant force we've seen in the past, he still has a respectable 3.86 ERA and has allowed just 6 earned runs in his last 28 innings (1.93 ERA). His opponent is Jack Leiter. This will be Leiter's fourth start, and he has posted a 12.83 ERA and not lasted beyond 4 innings. He has allowed 10 hits and 10 earned runs in 5.2 innings pitched while giving up 3 home runs. That doesn't bode well against baseball's top home run-hitting team, which also happens to have the highest OPS against right-handed pitchers in MLB at nearly .800. New York's bullpen stunk yesterday, but the key components are fresh and should be able to pitch today. The Rangers bullpen is very inconsistent and has an ERA more than a half run per game higher than the Yankees. Their pen also is pretty taxed, although standout closer Kirby Yates is available. It's unlikely they will need him today, though. New York has covered the run line in 14-straight victories, and although they have been scuffling a bit lately, they are undervalued in this matchup. If you think they will win, the run line makes perfect sense. The Yankees also need Cole to go deep in this game to give the pen a bit of a breather. He's a bulldog, so betting the over on his out total of 17.5 also might be worth considering even at -195. Or, if you are scared of the run line, pairing that with Yankees money line at plus money might make sense if your book will take a bet like that.
Houston Astros -160 at Cincinnati Reds (64%) 4:10 EDT
Houston starter Jason Verlander hasn't quite been himself lately after coming off the injured list. He has been steady, though, and his pitch count got up to 90 in his last outing. If nothing else, even if things go sideways you know he will battle and keep his team in the game no matter what. That's all the Astros might need today facing young starter Julian Aguiar, who has allowed 10 runs on 17 hits in 14 innings while surrendering five homers and generating very few swings and misses. Houston has a top-ten offense in terms of OPS and batting average vs. righties this year, ranking second in the league with an average of .262. Meanwhile the Rangers are hitting just .236 vs. right handers. Over 9 runs in this game also is an intriguing bet in this one.
San Diego Padres -225 vs. Detroit Tigers (65%) 6:10 p.m. EDT
Unfortunately, the odds in this one keep getting away from us. While that can cut into our potential winnings, usually it is a good sign in terms of the team expected to win. Detroit has not announced a starter yet, but its bullpen is pretty fresh, so seeing a group effort on the mound seems likely. The Tigers' pen has been serviceable this year, posting a 3.81 ERA, but the Padres have one of the deepest back-end units in the league after acquiring lefty closer Tanner Scott at the deadline. And San Diego starter Joe Musgrove has been outstanding since coming off the injured list, posting a 1.66 ERA and allowing just 4 earned runs in 21.2 innings pitched. The odds in this one may be tough for some of you to swallow, but remember it's the consistent winning that matters most. We want long-term financial gains. If you simply can't stomach the odds, though, you can always look at a parlay with the Yankees at plus odds or even knocking the odds down by parlaying the game with an alt-total over of 6.5 or 7 in the Houston game. Another possibility is parlaying San Diego with Florida State in tonight's college football game or looking at them along with over 17.5 outs for Gerrit Cole. Those are just suggestions, however, not recommended bets. Play those at your own risk!
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