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StatLogic Sports College Basketball Power 75 & NCAA Tournament Projections

Scott L.


Below please find the third edition of our StatLogic Sports College Basketball Power 75 and NCAA Tournament Projections. These power rankings were updated as of Monday, Feb. 17, at 4:30 p.m. EST. They will be updated again on Monday, Feb. 24.


The Power 75 is based on a combination of information that we have been compiling and tracking via our proprietary algorithm over the course of the season, actual game results vs. pre-flop probabilities and point spreads, what the bookmakers are saying via their opening game odds, sports book futures and how the professional gamblers are moving the lines on a daily basis.


We use these various components and the numbers they combine to produce to narrow down our daily betting options before running them through our model to filter out all the win probabilities that are below sixty percent. We throw those away right away, no questions asked.


Once we have the potential picks narrowed down, we incorporate new information such as injuries, travel, rest, location and other outside factors that might influence an outcome to determine our recommended picks. Those factors usually eliminate quite a few games before the final numbers are run for the contests that remain.


As we have stated many times in this space, we are extremely particular about the games we recommend, but these numbers serve as a starting point for our process. We hope to update them and post them here weekly.


Factored into the NCAA projections in addition to our raw numbers are teams' NET rankings, the NCAA Selection Committee seedings and strength of schedule.



StatLogic Sports Power 75 NCAA College Basketball Rankings v3.0


Rank

Team

Rate

1

Auburn

99.79

2

Duke

99.30

3

Houston

98.81

4

Alabama

98.49

5

Tennessee

97.69

6

Florida

97.69

7

Purdue

96.70

8

Texas Tech

96.18

9

Iowa State

95.43

10

Arizona

95.40

11

Illinois

95.16

12

Texas A&M

95.03

13

Michigan State

94.94

14

Michigan

94.77

15

St. John's

94.48

16

Kansas

94.46

17

Maryland

93.88

18

Mississippi

93.76

19

Marquette

93.76

20

Gonzaga

93.71

21

Missouri

93.62

22

Wisconsin

93.48

23

Kentucky

93.44

24

St. Mary's

92.92

25

UCLA

92.34

26

Mississippi State

92.25

27

UConn

91.66

28

Baylor

91.55

29

Clemson

91.38

30

Oregon

91.16

31

Ohio State

91.13

32

Creighton

90.47

33

Louisville

90.34

34

BYU

89.72

35

Texas

89.67

36

Georgia

88.83

37

SMU

88.77

38

Arkansas

88.72

39

VCU

88.50

40

Nebraska

88.23

41

Memphis

88.03

42

Vanderbilt

88.02

43

New Mexico

87.61

44

North Carolina

87.60

45

West Virginia

87.18

46

Villanova

86.99

47

Xavier

86.99

48

Cincinnati

86.81

49

Oklahoma

86.72

50

Pittsburgh

86.59

51

Indiana

86.59

52

San Diego State

86.53

53

Utah State

86.29

54

Wake Forest

86.20

55

USC

86.17

56

Kansas State

85.92

57

Boise State

85.52

58

Penn State

85.28

59

Northwestern

85.04

60

UC San Diego

84.96

61

Rutgers

84.79

62

Iowa

84.65

63

UCF

84.62

64

Santa Clara

84.59

65

Irvine

84.49

66

Oregon State

84.19

67

North Texas

83.92

68

Arizona State

83.90

69

LSU

83.55

70

Dayton

83.52

71

McNeese State

83.41

72

San Francisco

83.26

73

Drake

83.22

74

South Carolina

83.05

75

Minnesota

82.87


StatLogic Sports NCAA Basketball Tournament Projections

Last Four In - Arkansas, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, San Diego State

Last Four Byes - BYU, Georgia, Nebraska, Utah State

First Four Out - North Carolina (1st), SMU, Cincinnati, Xavier

Next Four Out - Indiana, Pittsburgh, Villanova, Wake Forest


Automatic Bids Included - VCU (12), New Mexico, Memphis (9), St. Mary's (6)


StatLogic #1 Seeds (Not Committee)

Auburn, Duke, Houston, Alabama


StatLogic #2 Seeds

Florida, Tennessee, Texas Tech, Texas A&M


StatLogic #3 Seeds

Purdue, Iowa State, Arizona, Wisconsin


StatLogic #4 Seeds

Kansas, St. John's, Illinois, Kentucky

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