Before we start: In memory of Ben Herbstreit. RIP good boy. Worst beat of the year.
As we continue to gather data for the 2024 NCAA college football season, we further refine the weekly picks from our model and to provide more content. Here is our sixth version of the StatLogic Sports NCAA College Football Power 35 for Week 11.
These are power rankings for the top 35 teams based on a combination of performance, the good old eye test, our numbers, the market and the bookmakers' opinions. We also got a new batch of data from the College Football Playoff rankings this week to consider. As the week goes on information such as injuries are added to help adjust numbers as well as other considerations, rules and guidelines that are applied to the weekly picks our model provides for us.
This week, after having the closest rating between the top two teams of the season, for Week 10, We see that an Oregon team that struggled out of the gate this year is starting to separate itself from the pack a bit. More teams playing more games against better competition can propel teams that have been undervalued and drop teams that have been overvalued as the data corrects itself.
But because these are objective numbers, there almost always are teams that we feel likely are overvalued and undervalued based on our model and guidelines. Indiana and BYU finally seem to be rising close to where we have valued them for several weeks, while Clemson is starting to fall to a more-appropriate level and some of the brand names such as Michigan, Oklahoma and USC also are more appropriately rated.
We are always tweaking our process as the season continues and these numbers are updated throughout the week based on the factors mentioned above right up until the first kickoff of the day every Saturday.
StatLogic Sports Week 11 NCAA Football Power 35
Oregon 100.0
Ohio State 99.5
Georgia 99.5
Texas 99.0
Tennessee 97.0
Alabama 96.5
Penn State 96.0
Notre Dame 95.0
Miami 94.5
Mississippi 94.5
Indiana 94.0
SMU 93.5
LSU 93.0
BYU 92.5
Texas A&M 92.5
Iowa State 92.0
Louisville 92.0
South Carolina 92.0
Kansas State 91.5
Clemson 91.0
Boise State 90.5
Colorado 90.0
Vanderbilt 89.0
Minnesota 89.0
Baylor 89.0
Iowa 88.5
Tulane 87.5
UNLV 87.5
Washington State 87.0
Texas Tech 87.0
Pittsburgh 86.5
Arizona State 86.5
Arkansas 86.0
Kansas 86.0
UCF 85.0
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Washington 85.0
Virginia Tech 85.0
Oklahoma 85.0
Cincinnati 84.5
USC 84.5
TCU 84.5
Missouri 84.0
Syracuse 84.0
Arkansas 84.0
Florida 83.0
Arkansas 83.0
California 83.0
Auburn 82.5
Wisconsin 82.5
Army 82.5
Kentucky 82.0
Boston College 82.0
Utah 81.5
Illinois 81.0
Michigan 81.0
Rutgers 80.5
Georgia Tech 80.5
West Virginia 80.5
Nebraska 80.0
Duke 79.0
Michigan State 79.0
Possibly Overvalued:
Utah, Miami, Mississippi, SMU, Louisville, Washington State, Oklahoma
Possibly Undervalued:
Michigan, Illinois, BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati
Week 11 College Football Games With a Potential Betting Edge
Friday Betting Edges (not recommended algorithm picks)
Wake Forest +7.5 vs. California - LOSS
Rice at Memphis OVER 50 - LOSS
Iowa at UCLA UNDER 46 - WIN
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