Updated following Thanksgiving Day games
Below are our Week 13 NFL Power Rankings along with our weekly betting edges and recommended picks.
Part of our rankings process includes moving teams up and down in the initial phase each week based on game results, injuries and other information. We are trying to determine where teams rank as of today instead of where they might rank in a month or six weeks if circumstances change. Once that is done, we run the relevant numbers through our algorithm then add the input of bookmakers and the sharp betting market. Finally, as the week progresses, we track the injury reports, sharp line moves and other breaking news and put each of the week's matchups through a rigorous set of rules and guidelines to get a composite number that is unaltered.
Advanced stats, coaches' in-game decision-making, recent form, depth after injuries and many other factors are considered before the final numbers are produced. We tweak our results throughout the week and update them in real time as game scores and new injuries flood in on Sundays. Our power rankings are not subjective. There are teams we feel may be overvalued or undervalued, but that can be valuable info when looking at point spreads and finding edges as the lines move throughout the week.
Our Week 13 NFL power rankings are below, and we feel that is important to understand that they are based on a formula and process, not on the opinion of any one person or group of people. Early in the week, we use the information at our disposal to determine which games might present an edge one way or another for bettors before the lines move too far in the wrong direction.
The numbers are the numbers, but the teams we think may be undervalued or overvalued are listed below the rankings along with games where we feel there might be a betting edge as of Thursday afternoon.
The games where we see potential betting edges and this week's recommended picks also are listed below the power rankings. The rankings are where our process starts and how we begin to narrow down games as potential recommended All-Star or Superstar picks. All-Star Picks have a 60-percent or better win probability. Superstar Selections have a win probability of 70 percent or higher.
StatLogic Sports Superstar Picks for NFL Week 13
Superstar Picks have a 70% or better win probability
Commanders money line -240 vs. Titans (70%) - WIN
StatLogic Sports All-Star Picks for NFL Week 13
All-Star Picks have a 60% or better win probability
Commanders & Buccaneers money line parlay -111 (63%)
Lions - 100.0
Eagles - 99.5
Bills - 99.0
Chiefs - 98.5
Ravens - 98.5
Packers - 97.0
Vikings - 96.5
Chargers - 96.0
Steelers - 96.0
Texans - 95.0
Buccaneers - 95.0
Broncos - 94.5
Commanders - 94.5
Seahawks - 94.5
Cardinals 94.0
49ers - 94.0
Rams - 94.0
Bengals - 94.0
Falcons - 93.5
Dolphins - 93.0
Saints - 92.5
Bears - 92.5
Colts - 92.0
Browns - 92.0
Jets - 91.5
Titans - 90.5
Cowboys - 90.5
Panthers - 89.5
Patriots - 89.0
Jaguars - 89.0
Giants - 88.0
Raiders - 88.0
Week 13 StatLogic Sports NFL Betting Edges
These are NOT are recommended picks for this week, but as part of our process we determine which games have a potential betting edge for one side or the other or the total. Some of these games may evolve into recommended picks. Thus far the games with edges have gone 48-37-2 before running them through our algorithm and rules.
Thanksgiving Games Betting Edges
Bears +10 or higher & OVER 47.5 WIN/LOSS
Cowboys money line -190 vs. Giants - WIN
Packers money line -180 Dolphins - WIN
Black Friday Game Betting Edge
N/A
Sunday Games Betting Edges
Titans +7 at Commanders & UNDER 44.5 - LOSS/LOSS
Bengals money line -155 vs. Steelers - LOSS
Colts money line -132 at Patriots & OVER 42 - WIN/WIN
Panthers +6 vs. Buccaneers - WIN
Saints +3 vs. Rams - LOSS
Bills -6 vs. 49ers - WIN
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