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Scott L.

StatLogic Sports Week 5 NCAA Football Games of Interest & Picks

Updated: Sep 30



We have our All-Star College Football Picks for Week 5!


Once we have our initial numbers, each game that meets the 60-percent-or-higher win probability minimum goes through a strenuous filtering process to check for red flags such as injuries, weather, suspensions, etc. Sometimes the scarcity of information available or the possibility that information may change takes us almost right up to kickoff for some of the games.


Week 5 NCAA Football All-Star Selections (60%+ win probability)

SMU ML -210 vs. Florida State (68% win probability) - WIN

Buffalo +6 at UConn (60%) - LOSS


In addition, we've been posting games for which we see a potential edge for one team each week, and so far those games have gone 45-39-1 after a 23-20-1 showing last past two weekends. These are the games we start with each week, and we track them right up until we have the algorithm's final numbers.


Here is what we have tracked for Week 5 of the 2024 NCAA college football season. This is our final pre-noon kickoff list for Week 5. If we have any recommended picks, those will be released shortly.


Week 5 CFB Tracked Games With an Edge

Eastern Michigan at Kent State OVER 45.5 - WIN

Clemson -23.5 vs. Stanford and OVER 57.5 - WIN/LOSS

Northern Illinois +8 at NC State - WIN

San Diego State +1.5 at Central Michigan - WIN

Wake Forest money line vs. Louisiana and OVER 60 - LOSS/WIN

Duke money line vs. North Carolina - WIN

Akron at Ohio UNDER 47 = WIN

Buffalo +6.5 at UCONN and OVER 44 - LOSS/WIN

Old Dominion +11 at Bowling Green and UNDER 51.5 - WIN/LOSS

Boston College -7.5 vs. Western Kentucky - LOSS

Florida State at SMU OVER 46.5 - WIN

Kanas State -5 vs. Oklahoma State - WIN

Tulane -4 vs. South Florida - WIN

Boise State -6.5 vs. Washington State - WIN

UAB +4.5 at Navy and UNDER 47.5 LOSS/LOSS

Louisville +7 (or better) at Notre Dame - PUSH

Minnesota +11.5 at Michigan - WIN

LA Tech at Florida International OVER 49 - LOSS

Georgia at Alabama UNDER 50 or higher - LOSS

Ohio State -23.5 vs. Michigan State - WIN

Air Force money line at Wyoming - LOSS


Edge Record Week 5 = 15-9-1

Edge Season Record = 60-48-1


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