updated 10/28 after MNF
The injuries keep mounting.
Key losses are making teams such as the 49ers, Buccaneers and Saints look like FCS college teams instead of National Football League clubs. The market still has the Niners clinging top 10 status, but the Saints are in a free fall and the Bucs have started down that path. The Jets probably should have dropped more, and despite the Chargers lack of offense, they remain ranked higher than we think they should probably should be.
Part of our rankings process includes moving teams down in the initial phase of the process each week when key players are out or likely to be out with injuries, because we are trying to determine where teams rank as of today, not where they might rank in a month or six weeks if injured players return. Once that is done, we run the relevant numbers through our algorithm then add the input of bookmakers and the sharp betting market. Finally, as the week progresses, we track the injury reports and other breaking news and run each team through a rigorous set of rules and guidelines to get a composite number that is unaltered.
Advanced stats, coach in-game decision-making, recent form, depth after injuries and many other factors are considered before the final numbers are produced. We tweak our numbers throughout the week and update them in real time as game results flood in on Sundays. Our power rankings are not subjective. There are teams we feel may be overvalued or undervalued, but that can be valuable info when looking at point spreads and finding edges as the lines move throughout the week.
Our Week 8 NFL power rankings are below, and we feel that is important to understand that they are based on a formula and process, not on the opinion of any person or group of people. Early in the week, we use the information we have to determine which games might present an edge one way or another for bettors before the lines move too far in the wrong direction.
The numbers are the numbers, but the teams we think may be undervalued or overvalued are listed below the rankings along with games where we feel there might be a betting edge as of Wednesday afternoon. At the top of the heap, a score of 100 would is perfect. At the moment, our numbers actually have Baltimore at 99.6, but our eyes tell us they are the best team in the NFL right now.
Here is a look at our StatLogic Sports Week 8 NFL Power Rankings:
Lions - 100.0
Chiefs - 99.5
Ravens - 99.0
Bills - 98.0
49ers - 97.0
Commanders - 96.5
Vikings - 96.5
Packers - 96.5
Eagles - 96.0
Steelers - 95.5
Texans - 95.0
Falcons - 95.0
Chargers - 94.5
Bears - 94.5
Broncos - 94.5
Rams - 94.0
Cardinals - 93.0
Seahawks - 93.0
Cowboys - 93.0
Bengals - 92.5
Buccaneers - 92.0
Browns - 91.5
Dolphins - 91.0
Colts - 91.0
Jets 91.0
Jaguars - 91.0
Giants - 90.5
Raiders - 90.5
Saints - 90.0
Patriots - 89.5
Titans - 89.0
Panthers - 88.5
Week 8 NFL Possible Betting Edges
Vikings -2.5 at Rams - LOSS
Titans +12.5 at Lions & OVER 44.5 LOSS/WIN
Ravens - 7.5 at Browns - LOSS
Eagles +2.5 at Bengals & UNDER 48 - WIN/LOSS
Chargers -7 vs. Saints - WIN
Jaguars +4.5 vs. Packers - WIN
Colts at Texans OVER 45 - LOSS
Dolphins money line vs. Cardinals & OVER 46 - LOSS/WIN
Falcons money line -140 at Buccaneers - WIN
Patriots +7 vs. Jets & OVER 41- WIN/WIN
Chiefs at Raiders UNDER 42 - LOSS
Giants at Steelers OVER 36 - WIN
Bills at Seahawks OVER 45 - LOSS
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