Just like it is for the players on the field in the National Football League, the NFL Fantasy & DFS season is a marathon - although it does seem to fly by - that is full of twists, turns, adjustments and readjustments. To be successful, we must keep our eyes and ears open all times to be aware of injuries, potential injuries, dramatic team and individual story lines, the waiver wire, the game-day weather, the NFL standings, the Vegas books, our league standings, DFS salaries and on and on and on.
The time we spend on our process daily gives us an edge and provides us with the information we need to be successful. At that point, its on us to make decisions that put our full-season teams in the best position to win and to select the players who maximize our chances of winning some cash in DFS.
Today, as we reach Week 9 and begin to navigate the downward slope toward the end of the season, there can be no more excuses. We've put in the time and we've done the research for two full months. Now it's time to take all the information we've collected over the course of the season's first half and to make sure the time and effort we have dedicated to the process pays off in a big way.
It's time to start believing our eyes.
No, that doesn't just mean we go back to using the good old eye test, although that is part of it. It's time to believe what our eyes have seen on the field and to combine that with all the information we have uncovered and dissected time and again. It's time to trust ourselves and put it all to use.
With confidence. No more excuses.
We're here to help.
Even for us it can be hard at time to trust the hard data we uncover combined with what our eyes are telling us after watching 14-16 games a week for the past two months. The breakdowns we post here every week provide winning information. We have cashed every week except one thus far, but we still leave money on the table by not trusting some of what we post.
Sometimes it's hard even for us to believe what we see and we doubt what we've uncovered. Those decisions can be the difference between winning $25 and $2,500 dollars. Neither is a bad outcome, but one certainly is a lot more desirable than the other.
We realize it can even be more difficult for our audience, many of whom are here because they are committed to the process but don't have the time to commit to it that we do. We are doing our followers and members a disservice if we can't confidently put forth concrete information to help them make the tough decisions and assemble winning lineups.
Up to this point, our DFS and full-season NFL fantasy recommendations have remained pretty much open-ended. Every player we list is one we believe can be part of a lineup that wins us a full-season game or earns us money in a DFS contest. If we had an unlimited supply of funds, we certainly would try all of them in at least one lineup. Unfortunately, we don't, and we assume that is true pretty much for our entire audience.
We also understand that anyone who comes here most likely is more than just a casual football fan or fantasy player. Most visitors probably are looking for some guidance and maybe some new information they haven't seen or heard before. And most people don't want to be told what to do. They want their beliefs confirmed or a nugget of info to help them make a tough decision.
We are the same way or we wouldn't put so much time into doing this. We do it for ourselves, but it also is for those who come here looking for an edge. Our process is good. We are successful. Now, for the second half of the season, it's time for us to put our best foot forward with confidence to help everyone improve their weekly performance.
Starting this week, we are going to provide fewer player options and be more firm and confident in the information we provide. At the end of the day, the audience always can make its own decisions and come to its own conclusions, but our goal is to make it very clear which players we feel will maximize everyone's chances of winning.
That's the ultimate goal, right?
As always, our recommendations are based on the FanDuel main slate, which includes Sunday Night Football, and should be applicable to those of you looking to make difficult roster decisions for your full-season teams.
For those wondering, we are NOT on the Bo Nix train this week. The Ravens D has been a bit suspect against the pass, but it would be a shock if Nix came into that environment against an angry team and defense that is sure to go out of its way to confuse him and pull off a strong fantasy performance. The Broncos have very much over-performed this year.
StatLogic Sports Week 9 NFL Full-season Fantasy & DFS Breakdown
Pay-up Core Players
These are expensive players we strongly should consider putting in most or all lineups. To fit them in, we will need to find value and super-value players to fill other spots.
Alvin Kamara - RB $8,800
AJ Brown - WR $9,000
Cee Dee Lamb - WR $9,100
Ja'Marr Chase - WR $9,500
Core Value Players
These are players who are value priced who we can put in all or most lineups for solid production and to allow us to select more-expensive players in other slots.
Chase Brown - RB $6,300
DJ Moore - WR $6,600
Josh Downs - WR $6,900
Chris Olave - WR $7,100
Terry McLaurin - WR $7,400
Kyle Pitts - TE $6,000
Super Value Core Player
Michael Pittman - WR $5,800
Pay-up Quarterbacks
Jalen Hurts - $9,300
Jayden Daniels - $8,700
Volume Value Quarterbacks
Kirk Cousins - $7,500
Matthew Stafford - $7,600
Joe Burrow - $7,900
Sam Darnold - $7,500
Super Value Quarterbacks
Joe Flacco - $7,000
Gardner Minshew - $6,600
Justin Herbert - $7,100
Pay-up Running Backs
Kyren Williams - $8,900
Bijan Robinson - $8,500
Volume Value Running Backs
Chuba Hubbard - $6,900
James Cook - $7,900
Tony Pollard - $7,300
D'Andrew Swift - $7,200
De'Von Achane - $7,800
Super Value Running Backs/Flex
Alexander Mattison - $5,900
Auston Ekeler - $5,500
Raheem Mostert - $6,400
Pay-up Wide Receiver
Ja'Marr Chase - $9,500
Value Volume Wide Receivers
Drake London - $7,900
DeVonta Smith - $7,800
Jayden Reed - $7,300
Super Value WR3/Flex
Keon Coleman - $6,000
Jakobi Meyers - $6,300
Ladd McConkey - $6,400
Darnell Mooney - $6,700
Courtland Sutton - $6,000
Jaxon Smith-Njigba - $6,500
Romeo Doubs - $6,300
Wan'Dale Robinson - $5,800
Darius Slayton - $5,600
Quentin Johnston - $5,600
Christian Watson - $5,600
Rome Odunze - $5,500
Jalen Coker - $5,200
Noah Brown - $4,800
Pay-Up Tight Ends
Brock Bowers - $7,700
David Njoku - $7,000
Trey McBride - $6,800
Value Tight Ends
Evan Engram - $6,400
Taysom Hill - $5,900
Super Value Tight Ends
TJ Hockenson - $5,600
Mike Gesicki - $5,400
Zach Ertz - $5,300
Grant Calcaterra - $5,200
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